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Trend Percentage:
Trend Percentage:
Definition and Explanation:
Horizontal analysis of financial statements can also be carried
out by computing trend percentages. Trend percentage states
several years' financial data in terms of a base year. The base year equals
100%, with all other years stated in some percentage of this base.
Example:
Consider McDonald's Corporation, the largest
global food service retailer, with more than 26,000 restaurants worldwide.
McDonalds enjoyed tremendous growth during the 1990s, as evidenced by the
following data:
|
2000 |
1999 |
1998 |
1997 |
1996 |
1995 |
1994 |
1993 |
1992 |
1991 |
1990 |
Sales(millions) |
$14,243 |
$13,259 |
$12,421 |
$11,409 |
$10687 |
$9,795 |
$8,321 |
$7,408 |
$7,133 |
$6,695 |
$6,640 |
Income(millions) |
$1,977 |
$1,948 |
$1,550 |
$1,642 |
$1,573 |
$1,427 |
$1,224 |
$1,083 |
$959 |
$860 |
$802 |
By simply looking at these data, one can see
that sales increased every year. But how rapidly sales have been increasing,
and have the increases in net income kept pace with the increase in sales?
It is difficult to answer these questions by looking at the raw data alone.
The increases in sales and the increases in net income can be put into
better perspective by stating them in terms of trend percentages, with 1990
as the base year. These percentages (all rounded) appear as follows:
|
2000 |
1999 |
1998 |
1997 |
1996 |
1995 |
1994 |
1993 |
1992 |
1991 |
1990 |
|
Sales |
215% |
200% |
187% |
172% |
161% |
148% |
125% |
112% |
107% |
101% |
100% |
|
Income |
247% |
243% |
193% |
205% |
196% |
178% |
153% |
135% |
120% |
107% |
100% |
|
The
trend analysis is particularly striking when the data are plotted as
above. McDonald's growth was impressive through the entire 11-year period,
but it was out paced by even higher growth in the company's net income. A
review of the company's
income statement reveals that the dip in net income growth in 1998 was
attributable, in part, to the $161.6 million that McDonalds spent to
implement its "Made for you" program and a special charge of $160 million
that related to a home office productivity initiative.
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